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Off the Yard Blog
Six down, six to go
(Photo by GoMids.com)
Posted Oct 24, 2013
When Navy flew out of the gate to a 2-0 start with a host of records in their sights it seemed unlikely that we would be in this spot. Unfortunately the Mids have had the wheels fall off since then, losing three of four and are right at .500 at the midway point of the season.
flew out of the gate to a 2-0 start with a host of records in their sights it seemed unlikely that we would be in this spot. Unfortunately the Mids have had the wheels fall off since then, losing three of four and are right at .500 at the midway point of the season. With just six games to go Navy must pick up at least three wins to become eligible for the 10th time in the last 11 years. With a contract signed to appear in the Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl it is put up or shut up time for the 2013 Navy Midshipmen.
Here is a look ahead to what is left on the schedule and how Navy should fair:
- Pitt are generally priced as a six point favorite, which is probably fair given their 4-2 record. There will be more about this game in the next day or two but the Panthers will certainly have to play better than they did against Old Dominion last weekend to beat the Mids in Annapolis.
- By far the toughest game left on the schedule and it is hard to see how Navy wins this. The best bet is to hope
is having one of his bad days and that the Irish offense just doesn't get going. Even then it can be tough to score points on Notre Dame at home.
- Even if the Mids are 3-5 coming into this one they should have few problems with the Warriors. Hawaii is 108th in the nation in points against and has given up over 30 points in every game this year.
and the rushing attack should put up big numbers against a team travelling half way around the world.
- Another big chance for a win comes against the Jaguars. It is worth noting though that South Alabama is four points away from being 5-1 and that they only lost by a touchdown at
. The grind of the season will be a huge problem for a team still transitioning into the FBS though at this point.
San Jose State
- The biggest toss up game left on the schedule is this one against the Spartans. San Jose State has been a disappointment in 2013 and are 3-3 themselves at this point. If
gets hot, and he could, then they will be hard to beat. Navy should be able to run the ball all day on a team giving up over 185 yards a game on the ground.
(neutral site) - If the games ahead go as many are predicting (L,L,W,W,L) then the it could all come down to the Army game. If it does then Navy would be favored against an Army team who runs the ball better than anyone, but who can certainly be scored on.
Logically it seems that Navy will probably finish at 6-6 and backdoor their way into a bowl game. I have a sneaky suspicion though that they will be able to take down either Pitt or San Jose State to at least finish with a winning record for the regular season. Even 7-5 would have to be seen as a disappointment given preseason expectations and the play over the first couple of weeks of the season.
HEAD TO HEAD: NAVY VS. PITTSBURGH
Oct 23, 2013
Three Keys - Navy vs. Pittsburgh
Oct 24, 2013
Academy Preview: Reclaiming What's Been Lost
Oct 25, 2013
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